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ESP Spanien - La Liga · Match ·

Barcelona vs Athletic Club

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score4–14.33 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger74%
Oavgjort16%
Bortaseger10%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 74% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger74% selection probability
Projected score4–1BarcelonaAthletic Club
Expected goals4.33Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över81% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
74% / 16% / 10%MatchresultatHemmaseger74%1.35
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Athletic Club win (10%)Dubbelchans1X90%1.11
Över 81% · Under 19%Goals 2.5Över81%1.23
Ja 54% · Nej 46%Båda lagen gör målJa54%1.85
4.33 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat4–1
10.0 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Barcelona win74%1.35
Oavgjort16%6.25
Athletic Club win10%10.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Barcelona3.52

Hemma share of expected goals 81.3%

Total expected goals4.33Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 81% · Under 19%

Athletic Club0.81

Borta share of expected goals 18.7%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitJa 54% · Nej 46%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Barcelona

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Athletic Club

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalBorta matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
74%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
10%
7
Points from supplied form
7
3.52
Expected goals
0.81
BarcelonaAthletic Club
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Barcelona signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Athletic Club signalBorta matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk26% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Barcelona vs Athletic Club FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 4–1 · 74% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Barcelona vunnen 74%,Oavgjort 16%,Athletic Club vunnen 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.33 · Över 2.5 81% · Current selection Över