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ESP Ισπανία - La Liga · Αγώνας ·

Μπαρτσελόνα vs Αθλέτικ Μπιλμπάο

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score4–14.33 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου74%
Ισοπαλία16%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου10%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 74% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου74% selection probability
Projected score4–1ΜπαρτσελόναΑθλέτικ Μπιλμπάο
Expected goals4.33Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω81% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
74% / 16% / 10%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου74%1.35
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Αθλέτικ Μπιλμπάο win (10.1%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X89.9%1.11
Άνω 81% · Κάτω 19%Goals 2.5Άνω81%1.23
Ναι 54% · Όχι 46%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι54%1.85
4.33 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ4–1
10.0 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Μπαρτσελόνα win74%1.35
Ισοπαλία16%6.25
Αθλέτικ Μπιλμπάο win10%10.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Μπαρτσελόνα3.52

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 81.3%

Total expected goals4.33Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 81% · Κάτω 19%

Αθλέτικ Μπιλμπάο0.81

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 18.7%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitΝαι 54% · Όχι 46%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Μπαρτσελόνα

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Αθλέτικ Μπιλμπάο

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
74%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
10%
7
Points from supplied form
7
3.52
Expected goals
0.81
ΜπαρτσελόναΑθλέτικ Μπιλμπάο
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Μπαρτσελόνα signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Αθλέτικ Μπιλμπάο signalΦιλοξενούμενος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk26% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Μπαρτσελόνα vs Αθλέτικ Μπιλμπάο FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 4–1 · 74% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Μπαρτσελόνα νίκη 74%,Ισοπαλία 16%,Αθλέτικ Μπιλμπάο νίκη 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.33 · Άνω 2.5 81% · Current selection Άνω