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Barcelona vs Athletic Club

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score4–14.33 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng74%
Hòa16%
Đội khách thắng10%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 74% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng74% selection probability
Projected score4–1BarcelonaAthletic Club
Expected goals4.33Mở match profile
Goals 2.5Tài81% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Tài 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
74% / 16% / 10%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng74%1.35
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Athletic Club win (10.1%)Cơ hội kép1X89.9%1.11
Tài 81% · Xỉu 19%Goals 2.5Tài81%1.23
Có 54% · Không 46%Cả hai đội ghi bàn54%1.85
4.33 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác4–1
10.0 expected match cornersPhạt gócTài 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Không snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityTỷ lệ công bằng
Barcelona win74%1.35
Hòa16%6.25
Athletic Club win10%10.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Barcelona3.52

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 81.3%

Total expected goals4.33Mở

Dedicated goals model: Tài 81% · Xỉu 19%

Athletic Club0.81

Khách share of expected goals 18.7%

Projected score4–1BTTS split 54% · Không 46%Match profileMở
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Barcelona

1.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Điểm7

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Athletic Club

1.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Điểm7

SignalKhách matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
74%
Thắng probability excluding draw
10%
7
Points from supplied form
7
3.52
Expected goals
0.81
BarcelonaAthletic Club
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Barcelona signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Athletic Club signalKhách matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk26% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Barcelona vs Athletic Club FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 4–1 · 74% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Barcelona thắng 74%,Hòa 16%,Athletic Club thắng 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.33 · Tài 2.5 81% · Current selection Tài