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ESP Spain La Liga · Trận đấu ·

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score3–13.76 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng63%
Hòa21%
Đội khách thắng16%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng63% selection probability
Projected score3–1Real MadridReal Sociedad
Expected goals3.76Mở match profile
Goals 2.5Tài72% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Tài 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
63% / 21% / 16%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Real Sociedad win (15.6%)Cơ hội kép1X84.4%1.18
Tài 72% · Xỉu 28%Goals 2.5Tài72%1.39
Có 58% · Không 42%Cả hai đội ghi bàn58%1.72
3.76 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác3–1
9.8 expected match cornersPhạt gócTài 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Không snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityTỷ lệ công bằng
Real Madrid win63%1.59
Hòa21%4.76
Real Sociedad win16%6.25

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Real Madrid2.81

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 74.7%

Total expected goals3.76Mở

Dedicated goals model: Tài 72% · Xỉu 28%

Real Sociedad0.95

Khách share of expected goals 25.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 58% · Không 42%Match profileMở
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Real Madrid

2.60pts / match
Số trận5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Điểm13

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 5/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Real Sociedad

1.20pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Điểm6

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Thắng probability excluding draw
16%
13
Points from supplied form
6
2.81
Expected goals
0.95
Real MadridReal Sociedad
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Real Madrid signalChủ nhà unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Real Sociedad signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 3–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Real Madrid thắng 63%,Hòa 21%,Real Sociedad thắng 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.76 · Tài 2.5 72% · Current selection Tài