Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
63% / 21% / 16%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Real Sociedad win (15.6%)Dubbele Kans1X84.4%1.18
Boven 72% · Onder 28%Goals 2.5Boven72%1.39
Ja 58% · Nee 42%Beide teams scorenJa58%1.72
3.76 total expected goalsExacte score3–1——
9.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Real Madrid win63%1.59
Gelijkspel21%4.76
Real Sociedad win16%6.25
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 74.7%
Total expected goals3.76Openen
Dedicated goals model: Boven 72% · Onder 28%
Uit share of expected goals 25.3%
Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 58% · Nee 42%Match profileOpenen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchReal Madrid
WWDWW
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punten13
SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5
Uit-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchReal Sociedad
LLLWW
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6
SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
63%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
16%13
Points from supplied form
62.81
Expected goals
0.95Real MadridReal Sociedad
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 21%.
Match questions
Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 3–1 · 63% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Real Madrid gewonnen 63%，Gelijkspel 21%，Real Sociedad gewonnen 16%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.76 · Boven 2.5 72% · Current selection Boven。