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レアルマドリード vs レアルソシエダ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score3–13.76 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利63%
引き分け21%
アウェイ勝利16%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利63% selection probability
Projected score3–1レアルマドリードレアルソシエダ
Expected goals3.76始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー72% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
63% / 21% / 16%試合結果ホーム勝利63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes レアルソシエダ win (15.6%)ダブルチャンス1X84.4%1.18
オーバー 72% · アンダー 28%Goals 2.5オーバー72%1.39
はい 58% · いいえ 42%両チーム得点はい58%1.72
3.76 total expected goals正確なスコア3–1
9.8 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
レアルマドリード win63%1.59
引き分け21%4.76
レアルソシエダ win16%6.25

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

レアルマドリード2.81

ホーム share of expected goals 74.7%

Total expected goals3.76始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 72% · アンダー 28%

レアルソシエダ0.95

アウェイ share of expected goals 25.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitはい 58% · いいえ 42%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

レアルマドリード

2.60pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn1Losses0ポイント13

Signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

レアルソシエダ

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn0Losses3ポイント6

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
勝ち probability excluding draw
16%
13
Points from supplied form
6
2.81
Expected goals
0.95
レアルマドリードレアルソシエダ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01レアルマドリード signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02レアルソシエダ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

レアルマドリード vs レアルソシエダ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 3–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

レアルマドリード 勝ち 63%,引き分け 21%,レアルソシエダ 勝ち 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.76 · オーバー 2.5 72% · Current selection オーバー