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ESP Hiszpania - La Liga · Mecz ·

Real Madryt vs Real Sociedad

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score3–13.76 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy63%
Remis21%
Wygrana gości16%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy63% selection probability
Projected score3–1Real MadrytReal Sociedad
Expected goals3.76Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej72% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
63% / 21% / 16%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Real Sociedad win (15.6%)Podwójna szansa1X84.4%1.18
Powyżej 72% · Poniżej 28%Goals 2.5Powyżej72%1.39
Tak 58% · Nie 42%Obie drużyny strzeląTak58%1.72
3.76 total expected goalsDokładny wynik3–1
9.8 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Real Madryt win63%1.59
Remis21%4.76
Real Sociedad win16%6.25

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Real Madryt2.81

Gospodarze share of expected goals 74.7%

Total expected goals3.76Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 72% · Poniżej 28%

Real Sociedad0.95

Goście share of expected goals 25.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitTak 58% · Nie 42%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Real Madryt

2.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkty13

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Real Sociedad

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkty6

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
16%
13
Points from supplied form
6
2.81
Expected goals
0.95
Real MadrytReal Sociedad
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Real Madryt signalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Real Sociedad signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Real Madryt vs Real Sociedad FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 3–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Real Madryt wygrana 63%,Remis 21%,Real Sociedad wygrana 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.76 · Powyżej 2.5 72% · Current selection Powyżej