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ESP Spanien - La Liga · Kamp ·

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score3–13.76 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr63%
Uafgjort21%
Udesejr16%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr63% selection probability
Projected score3–1Real MadridReal Sociedad
Expected goals3.76Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over72% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
63% / 21% / 16%KampresultatHjemmesejr63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Real Sociedad win (15.6%)Dobbeltchance1X84.4%1.18
Over 72% · Under 28%Goals 2.5Over72%1.39
Ja 58% · Nej 42%Begge hold scorerJa58%1.72
3.76 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
9.8 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Real Madrid win63%1.59
Uafgjort21%4.76
Real Sociedad win16%6.25

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Real Madrid2.81

Hjemme share of expected goals 74.7%

Total expected goals3.76Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 72% · Under 28%

Real Sociedad0.95

Ude share of expected goals 25.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 58% · Nej 42%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Real Madrid

2.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Point13

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Real Sociedad

1.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Point6

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Vundet probability excluding draw
16%
13
Points from supplied form
6
2.81
Expected goals
0.95
Real MadridReal Sociedad
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Real Madrid signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Real Sociedad signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 3–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Real Madrid vundet 63%,Uafgjort 21%,Real Sociedad vundet 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.76 · Over 2.5 72% · Current selection Over