Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
63% / 21% / 16%Esito partitaVittoria casa63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Real Sociedad win (15.6%)Doppia Chance1X84.4%1.18
Sopra 72% · Sotto 28%Goals 2.5Sopra72%1.39
Sì 58% · No 42%Entrambe le squadre segnanoSì58%1.72
3.76 total expected goalsRisultato esatto3–1——
9.8 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Real Madrid win63%1.59
Pareggio21%4.76
Real Sociedad win16%6.25
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Casa share of expected goals 74.7%
Total expected goals3.76Apertura
Dedicated goals model: Sopra 72% · Sotto 28%
Trasferta share of expected goals 25.3%
Projected score3–1BTTS splitSì 58% · No 42%Match profileApertura
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Casa-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchReal Madrid
WWDWW
Giocate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punti13
SignalCasa unbeaten 5/5
Trasferta-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchReal Sociedad
LLLWW
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6
SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
63%
Vinta probability excluding draw
16%13
Points from supplied form
62.81
Expected goals
0.95Real MadridReal Sociedad
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 21%.
Match questions
Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 3–1 · 63% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Real Madrid vinta 63%，Pareggio 21%，Real Sociedad vinta 16%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.76 · Sopra 2.5 72% · Current selection Sopra。