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ESP Spagna - La Liga · Partita ·

Racing Santander vs Villarreal

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.65 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa29%
Pareggio26%
Vittoria ospite45%
Market-based forecastVittoria ospiteTier B · 45% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite45% selection probability
Projected score1–1Racing SantanderVillarreal
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto51% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
29% / 26% / 45%Esito partitaVittoria ospite45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.8%)Doppia Chance1274.2%1.35
Sopra 49% · Sotto 51%Goals 2.5Sotto51%1.96
Sì 54% · No 46%Entrambe le squadre segnano54%1.85
2.65 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin5.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Racing Santander win29%3.453.5027.1%
Pareggio26%3.853.7025.6%
Villarreal win45%2.222.0047.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Racing Santander1.24

Casa share of expected goals 46.8%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 49% · Sotto 51%

Villarreal1.41

Trasferta share of expected goals 53.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Racing Santander

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Villarreal

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9

SignalCasa failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Vinta probability excluding draw
45%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.24
Expected goals
1.41
Racing SantanderVillarreal
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Racing Santander signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Villarreal signalCasa failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Racing Santander vs Villarreal FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Racing Santander vinta 29%,Pareggio 26%,Villarreal vinta 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · Sopra 2.5 49% · Current selection Sotto