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ESP Spagna - La Liga · Partita ·

Valencia vs Real Betis

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.72 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa36%
Pareggio29%
Vittoria ospite35%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa36% selection probability
Projected score1–1ValenciaReal Betis
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra51% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
36% / 29% / 35%Esito partitaVittoria casa36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.8%)Doppia Chance1271.2%1.40
Sopra 51% · Sotto 49%Goals 2.5Sopra51%1.96
Sì 56% · No 44%Entrambe le squadre segnano56%1.79
2.72 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Valencia win36%2.78
Pareggio29%3.45
Real Betis win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Valencia1.39

Casa share of expected goals 51.1%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 51% · Sotto 49%

Real Betis1.33

Trasferta share of expected goals 48.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Valencia

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Real Betis

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Vinta probability excluding draw
35%
4
Points from supplied form
10
1.39
Expected goals
1.33
ValenciaReal Betis
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Valencia signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Real Betis signalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Valencia vs Real Betis FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Valencia vinta 36%,Pareggio 29%,Real Betis vinta 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · Sopra 2.5 51% · Current selection Sopra