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ESP Spain La Liga · Fixture ·

Valencia vs Real Betis

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.72 expected goals
Away form
Home win37%
Draw29%
Away win35%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win37% selection probability
Projected score1–1ValenciaReal Betis
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
37% / 29% / 35%Match resultHome win37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.8%)Double chance1271.2%1.40
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
2.72 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Valencia win37%2.70
Draw29%3.45
Real Betis win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Valencia1.39

Home share of expected goals 51.1%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%

Real Betis1.33

Away share of expected goals 48.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Valencia

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Real Betis

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Win probability excluding draw
35%
4
Points from supplied form
10
1.39
Expected goals
1.33
ValenciaReal Betis
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Valencia signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Real Betis signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Valencia vs Real Betis FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Valencia win 37%,Draw 29%,Real Betis win 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over