Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
74% / 16% / 10%Match resultHome win74%1.35
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Athletic Club win (10.1%)Double chance1X89.9%1.11
Over 81% · Under 19%Goals 2.5Over81%1.23
Yes 54% · No 46%Both teams scoreYes54%1.85
4.33 total expected goalsCorrect score4–1——
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Barcelona win74%1.35
Draw16%6.25
Athletic Club win10%10.00
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 81.3%
Total expected goals4.33Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 81% · Under 19%
Away share of expected goals 18.7%
Projected score4–1BTTS splitYes 54% · No 46%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchBarcelona
DLWLW
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchAthletic Club
LLWDW
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
74%
Win probability excluding draw
10%7
Points from supplied form
73.52
Expected goals
0.81BarcelonaAthletic Club
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 16%.
Match questions
Barcelona vs Athletic Club FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 4–1 · 74% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Barcelona win 74%，Draw 16%，Athletic Club win 10%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 4.33 · Over 2.5 81% · Current selection Over。