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ESP Испания - Ла Лига · Матч ·

Барселона vs Атлетик Бильбао

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score4–14.33 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев74%
Ничья16%
Победа гостей10%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 74% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев74% selection probability
Projected score4–1БарселонаАтлетик Бильбао
Expected goals4.33Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше81% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
74% / 16% / 10%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев74%1.35
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Атлетик Бильбао win (10.1%)Двойной шанс1X89.9%1.11
Больше 81% · Меньше 19%Goals 2.5Больше81%1.23
Да 54% · Нет 46%Обе забьютДа54%1.85
4.33 total expected goalsТочный счёт4–1
10.0 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Барселона win74%1.35
Ничья16%6.25
Атлетик Бильбао win10%10.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Барселона3.52

Хозяева share of expected goals 81.3%

Total expected goals4.33Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 81% · Меньше 19%

Атлетик Бильбао0.81

Гости share of expected goals 18.7%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitДа 54% · Нет 46%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Барселона

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Атлетик Бильбао

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
74%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
10%
7
Points from supplied form
7
3.52
Expected goals
0.81
БарселонаАтлетик Бильбао
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Барселона signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Атлетик Бильбао signalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk26% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Барселона vs Атлетик Бильбао FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 4–1 · 74% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Барселона выигрыш 74%,Ничья 16%,Атлетик Бильбао выигрыш 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.33 · ТБ 2.5 81% · Current selection Больше