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ESP Espanha - La Liga · Partida ·

Barcelona vs Athletic Club

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score4–14.33 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa74%
Empate16%
Vitória visitante10%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 74% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa74% selection probability
Projected score4–1BarcelonaAthletic Club
Expected goals4.33Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima81% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
74% / 16% / 10%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa74%1.35
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Athletic Club win (10.1%)Dupla Chance1X89.9%1.11
Acima 81% · Abaixo 19%Goals 2.5Acima81%1.23
Sim 54% · Não 46%Ambas as equipes marcamSim54%1.85
4.33 total expected goalsPlacar exato4–1
10.0 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
Barcelona win74%1.35
Empate16%6.25
Athletic Club win10%10.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Barcelona3.52

Mandante share of expected goals 81.3%

Total expected goals4.33Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 81% · Abaixo 19%

Athletic Club0.81

Visitante share of expected goals 18.7%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitSim 54% · Não 46%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Barcelona

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Athletic Club

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
74%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
10%
7
Points from supplied form
7
3.52
Expected goals
0.81
BarcelonaAthletic Club
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Barcelona signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Athletic Club signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk26% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Barcelona vs Athletic Club FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 4–1 · 74% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Barcelona ganhou 74%,Empate 16%,Athletic Club ganhou 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.33 · Acima 2.5 81% · Current selection Acima