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ESP 西班牙甲級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

巴塞羅那 vs 畢爾包體育會

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score4–14.33 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝74%
16%
客勝10%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 74% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝74% selection probability
Projected score4–1巴塞羅那畢爾包體育會
Expected goals4.33初盤 match profile
Goals 2.581% for the selected side
雙方進球54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
74% / 16% / 10%比賽結果主勝74%1.35
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 畢爾包體育會 win (10.1%)雙重機會1X89.9%1.11
大 81% · 小 19%Goals 2.581%1.23
是 54% · 否 46%雙方進球54%1.85
4.33 total expected goals正確比分4–1
10.0 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
巴塞羅那 win74%1.35
16%6.25
畢爾包體育會 win10%10.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

巴塞羅那3.52

主隊 share of expected goals 81.3%

Total expected goals4.33初盤

Dedicated goals model: 81% · 19%

畢爾包體育會0.81

客隊 share of expected goals 18.7%

Projected score4–1BTTS split 54% · 46%Match profile初盤
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

巴塞羅那

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

客隊-context · form sequence

畢爾包體育會

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal客隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
74%
贏 probability excluding draw
10%
7
Points from supplied form
7
3.52
Expected goals
0.81
巴塞羅那畢爾包體育會
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01巴塞羅那 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02畢爾包體育會 signal客隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk26% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

巴塞羅那 vs 畢爾包體育會 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 4–1 · 74% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

巴塞羅那 74%, 16%,畢爾包體育會 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.33 · 大2.5 81% · Current selection