MatchFormula Mérkőzés keresése
Menu
UTC+8
IdőzónaAsia/Shanghai
Magyar
ESP Spanyolország - La Liga · Mérkőzés ·

Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score4–14.33 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem74%
Döntetlen16%
Vendég győzelem10%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 74% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem74% selection probability
Projected score4–1BarcelonaAthletic Bilbao
Expected goals4.33Nyitó match profile
Goals 2.5Felett81% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
74% / 16% / 10%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem74%1.35
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Athletic Bilbao win (10.1%)Dupla esély1X89.9%1.11
Felett 81% · Alatt 19%Goals 2.5Felett81%1.23
Igen 54% · Nem 46%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen54%1.85
4.33 total expected goalsPontos eredmény4–1
10.0 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nem snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityValós odds
Barcelona win74%1.35
Döntetlen16%6.25
Athletic Bilbao win10%10.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Barcelona3.52

Hazai share of expected goals 81.3%

Total expected goals4.33Nyitó

Dedicated goals model: Felett 81% · Alatt 19%

Athletic Bilbao0.81

Vendég share of expected goals 18.7%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitIgen 54% · Nem 46%Match profileNyitó
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Barcelona

1.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontok7

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Athletic Bilbao

1.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontok7

SignalVendég matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
74%
Nyert probability excluding draw
10%
7
Points from supplied form
7
3.52
Expected goals
0.81
BarcelonaAthletic Bilbao
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Barcelona signalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Athletic Bilbao signalVendég matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk26% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 4–1 · 74% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Barcelona nyer 74%,Döntetlen 16%,Athletic Bilbao nyer 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.33 · 2.5 felett 81% · Current selection Felett