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ESP Spanien - La Liga · Spiel ·

Barcelona vs Athletic Club

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score4–14.33 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg74%
Unentschieden16%
Auswärtssieg10%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 74% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg74% selection probability
Projected score4–1BarcelonaAthletic Club
Expected goals4.33Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über81% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
74% / 16% / 10%SpielergebnisHeimsieg74%1.35
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Athletic Club win (10.1%)Doppelte Chance1X89.9%1.11
Über 81% · Unter 19%Goals 2.5Über81%1.23
Ja 54% · Nein 46%Beide Teams treffenJa54%1.85
4.33 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis4–1
10.0 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Barcelona win74%1.35
Unentschieden16%6.25
Athletic Club win10%10.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Barcelona3.52

Heim share of expected goals 81.3%

Total expected goals4.33Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 81% · Unter 19%

Athletic Club0.81

Auswärts share of expected goals 18.7%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitJa 54% · Nein 46%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Barcelona

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Athletic Club

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
74%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
10%
7
Points from supplied form
7
3.52
Expected goals
0.81
BarcelonaAthletic Club
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Barcelona signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Athletic Club signalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk26% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Barcelona vs Athletic Club FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 4–1 · 74% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Barcelona Gewinn 74%,Unentschieden 16%,Athletic Club Gewinn 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.33 · Über 2.5 81% · Current selection Über