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ESP Spanien - La Liga · Spiel ·

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score3–13.76 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg63%
Unentschieden21%
Auswärtssieg16%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg63% selection probability
Projected score3–1Real MadridReal Sociedad
Expected goals3.76Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über72% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
63% / 21% / 16%SpielergebnisHeimsieg63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Real Sociedad win (15.6%)Doppelte Chance1X84.4%1.18
Über 72% · Unter 28%Goals 2.5Über72%1.39
Ja 58% · Nein 42%Beide Teams treffenJa58%1.72
3.76 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis3–1
9.8 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Real Madrid win63%1.59
Unentschieden21%4.76
Real Sociedad win16%6.25

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Real Madrid2.81

Heim share of expected goals 74.7%

Total expected goals3.76Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 72% · Unter 28%

Real Sociedad0.95

Auswärts share of expected goals 25.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 58% · Nein 42%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Real Madrid

2.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkte13

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Real Sociedad

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
16%
13
Points from supplied form
6
2.81
Expected goals
0.95
Real MadridReal Sociedad
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Real Madrid signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Real Sociedad signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 3–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Real Madrid Gewinn 63%,Unentschieden 21%,Real Sociedad Gewinn 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.76 · Über 2.5 72% · Current selection Über