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ESP Испания - Ла Лига · Мач ·

Реал Мадрид vs Реал Сосиедад

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score3–13.76 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина63%
Равен21%
Победа за госта16%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина63% selection probability
Projected score3–1Реал МадридРеал Сосиедад
Expected goals3.76Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над72% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
63% / 21% / 16%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Реал Сосиедад win (15.6%)Двоен шанс1X84.4%1.18
Над 72% · Под 28%Goals 2.5Над72%1.39
Да 58% · Не 42%И двата отбора да отбележатДа58%1.72
3.76 total expected goalsТочен резултат3–1
9.8 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Реал Мадрид win63%1.59
Равен21%4.76
Реал Сосиедад win16%6.25

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Реал Мадрид2.81

Домакин share of expected goals 74.7%

Total expected goals3.76Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 72% · Под 28%

Реал Сосиедад0.95

Гост share of expected goals 25.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitДа 58% · Не 42%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Реал Мадрид

2.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Точки13

SignalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Реал Сосиедад

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
16%
13
Points from supplied form
6
2.81
Expected goals
0.95
Реал МадридРеал Сосиедад
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Реал Мадрид signalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Реал Сосиедад signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Реал Мадрид vs Реал Сосиедад FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 3–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Реал Мадрид печеливш 63%,Равен 21%,Реал Сосиедад печеливш 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.76 · Над 2.5 72% · Current selection Над