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ESP Spanien - La Liga · Match ·

Racing Santander vs Villarreal

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.64 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger30%
Oavgjort26%
Bortaseger43%
Market-based forecastBortasegerTier B · 43% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Racing SantanderVillarreal
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
30% / 26% / 43%MatchresultatBortaseger43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.4%)Dubbelchans1273.6%1.36
Över 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Ja 54% · Nej 46%Båda lagen gör målJa54%1.85
2.64 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.6 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin5.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Racing Santander win30%3.333.3028.7%
Oavgjort26%3.853.6026.3%
Villarreal win43%2.332.1045.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Racing Santander1.26

Hemma share of expected goals 47.7%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 49% · Under 51%

Villarreal1.38

Borta share of expected goals 52.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 54% · Nej 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Racing Santander

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Villarreal

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
43%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.26
Expected goals
1.38
Racing SantanderVillarreal
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Racing Santander signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Villarreal signalHemma failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Racing Santander vs Villarreal FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Racing Santander vunnen 30%,Oavgjort 26%,Villarreal vunnen 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · Över 2.5 49% · Current selection Under