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ESP Hiszpania - La Liga · Final ·

Alaves vs Getafe

Prediction review

Gospodarze form
Final score3–0Prognoza 1–1
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy40%
Remis34%
Wygrana gości26%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 40% selection probability
Prediction Trafiony
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy40% selection probability
Projected score1–1AlavesGetafe
Expected goals1.76Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej74% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
40% / 34% / 26%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Getafe win (25.7%)Podwójna szansa1X74.3%1.35
Powyżej 26% · Poniżej 74%Goals 2.5Poniżej74%1.35
Tak 34% · Nie 66%Obie drużyny strzeląNie66%1.52
1.76 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
9.5 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Alaves win40%2.502.3839.9%+0.1 pp
Remis34%2.942.7534.5%-0.5 pp
Getafe win26%3.853.7025.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alaves1.00

Gospodarze share of expected goals 56.8%

Total expected goals1.76Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 26% · Poniżej 74%

Getafe0.76

Goście share of expected goals 43.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 34% · Nie 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Alaves

1.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkty8

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Getafe

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkty9

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
26%
8
Points from supplied form
9
1.00
Expected goals
0.76
AlavesGetafe
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alaves signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Getafe signalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Alaves vs Getafe FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alaves wygrana 40%,Remis 34%,Getafe wygrana 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.76 · Powyżej 2.5 26% · Current selection Poniżej