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CDアラベス vs ヘタフェ

Prediction review

ホーム form
Final score3–0予想 1–1
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利40%
引き分け34%
アウェイ勝利26%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 40% selection probability
Prediction 的中
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利40% selection probability
Projected score1–1CDアラベスヘタフェ
Expected goals1.76Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー74% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
40% / 34% / 26%試合結果ホーム勝利40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ヘタフェ win (25.7%)ダブルチャンス1X74.3%1.35
オーバー 26% · アンダー 74%Goals 2.5アンダー74%1.35
はい 34% · いいえ 66%両チーム得点いいえ66%1.52
1.76 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.5 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.5 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CDアラベス win40%2.502.3839.9%+0.1 pp
引き分け34%2.942.7534.5%-0.5 pp
ヘタフェ win26%3.853.7025.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CDアラベス1.00

ホーム share of expected goals 56.8%

Total expected goals1.76Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 26% · アンダー 74%

ヘタフェ0.76

アウェイ share of expected goals 43.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 34% · いいえ 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

CDアラベス

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ヘタフェ

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn0Losses2ポイント9

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
勝ち probability excluding draw
26%
8
Points from supplied form
9
1.00
Expected goals
0.76
CDアラベスヘタフェ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CDアラベス signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ヘタフェ signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

CDアラベス vs ヘタフェ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CDアラベス 勝ち 40%,引き分け 34%,ヘタフェ 勝ち 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.76 · オーバー 2.5 26% · Current selection アンダー