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ESP España - La Liga · Final ·

Alavés vs Getafe

Prediction review

Local form
Final score3–0Pronóstico 1–1
Visitante form
Victoria local40%
Empate34%
Victoria visitante26%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 40% selection probability
Prediction Acertado
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local40% selection probability
Projected score1–1AlavésGetafe
Expected goals1.76Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de74% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
40% / 34% / 26%Resultado del partidoVictoria local40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Getafe win (25.7%)Doble Oportunidad1X74.3%1.35
Más de 26% · Menos de 74%Goals 2.5Menos de74%1.35
Sí 34% · No 66%Ambos equipos marcanNo66%1.52
1.76 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.5 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Alavés win40%2.502.3839.9%+0.1 pp
Empate34%2.942.7534.5%-0.5 pp
Getafe win26%3.853.7025.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alavés1.00

Local share of expected goals 56.8%

Total expected goals1.76Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 26% · Menos de 74%

Getafe0.76

Visitante share of expected goals 43.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 34% · No 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Alavés

1.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Getafe

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puntos9

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Ganado probability excluding draw
26%
8
Points from supplied form
9
1.00
Expected goals
0.76
AlavésGetafe
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alavés signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Getafe signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Alavés vs Getafe FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alavés ganada 40%,Empate 34%,Getafe ganada 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.76 · Más de 2.5 26% · Current selection Menos de