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ESP España - La Liga · Final ·

Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano

Prediction review

Local form
Final score2–1Pronóstico 1–1
Visitante form
Victoria local39%
Empate31%
Victoria visitante30%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 39% selection probability
Prediction Acertado
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local39% selection probability
Projected score1–1SevillaRayo Vallecano
Expected goals2.23Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de61% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
39% / 31% / 30%Resultado del partidoVictoria local39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Rayo Vallecano win (29.8%)Doble Oportunidad1X70.2%1.42
Más de 39% · Menos de 61%Goals 2.5Menos de61%1.64
Sí 46% · No 54%Ambos equipos marcanNo54%1.85
2.23 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.7 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sevilla win39%2.562.4538.7%+0.3 pp
Empate31%3.233.0031.6%-0.6 pp
Rayo Vallecano win30%3.333.2029.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sevilla1.18

Local share of expected goals 52.9%

Total expected goals2.23Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 39% · Menos de 61%

Rayo Vallecano1.05

Visitante share of expected goals 47.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 46% · No 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Sevilla

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Rayo Vallecano

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Ganado probability excluding draw
30%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.18
Expected goals
1.05
SevillaRayo Vallecano
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sevilla signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Rayo Vallecano signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sevilla ganada 39%,Empate 31%,Rayo Vallecano ganada 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.23 · Más de 2.5 39% · Current selection Menos de