Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
45% / 26% / 29%Match resultHome win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Double chance1274%1.35
Over 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Yes 48% · No 52%Both teams scoreNo52%1.92
2.61 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
10.1 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapTepatitlan de Morelos winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Tepatitlan de Morelos win45%2.222.1543.7%+1.3 pp
Draw26%3.853.6026.1%-0.1 pp
Club Atletico La Paz win29%3.453.1030.3%-1.3 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 66.7%
Total expected goals2.61Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 48% · Under 52%
Away share of expected goals 33.3%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchTepatitlan de Morelos
LLLWW
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.20pts / matchClub Atletico La Paz
LLLLD
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1
SignalHome won 2/3 recent home matches
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
45%
Win probability excluding draw
29%6
Points from supplied form
11.74
Expected goals
0.87Tepatitlan de MorelosClub Atletico La Paz
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Club Atletico La Paz FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Tepatitlan de Morelos win 45%，Draw 26%，Club Atletico La Paz win 29%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.61 · Over 2.5 48% · Current selection Under。