Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
43% / 29% / 29%Match resultHome win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.6%)Double chance1271.4%1.40
Over 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Over52%1.92
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
2.76 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin11.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Alacranes de Durango win43%2.332.1541.9%—
Draw29%3.453.1029.1%—
Piratas win29%3.453.1029.1%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 56.2%
Total expected goals2.76Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 52% · Under 48%
Away share of expected goals 43.8%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
3.00pts / matchAlacranes de Durango
WW
Played2Wins2Drawn0Losses0Points6
SignalHome unbeaten 2/2
Away-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchPiratas
WD
Played2Wins1Drawn1Losses0Points4
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/2
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
43%
Win probability excluding draw
29%6
Points from supplied form
41.55
Expected goals
1.21Alacranes de DurangoPiratas
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Alacranes de Durango vs Piratas FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Alacranes de Durango win 43%，Draw 29%，Piratas win 29%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.76 · Over 2.5 52% · Current selection Over。