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MEX Mexico Liga de Expansion · Partita ·

Alacranes de Durango vs Piratas

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.76 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa43%
Pareggio29%
Vittoria ospite29%
Market-based forecastVittoria casaTier B · 43% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa43% selection probability
Projected score2–1Alacranes de DurangoPiratas
Expected goals2.76Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra52% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
43% / 29% / 29%Esito partitaVittoria casa43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.6%)Doppia Chance1271.4%1.40
Sopra 52% · Sotto 48%Goals 2.5Sopra52%1.92
Sì 56% · No 44%Entrambe le squadre segnano56%1.79
2.76 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Alacranes de Durango win43%2.332.1541.9%
Pareggio29%3.453.1029.1%
Piratas win29%3.453.1029.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alacranes de Durango1.55

Casa share of expected goals 56.2%

Total expected goals2.76Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 52% · Sotto 48%

Piratas1.21

Trasferta share of expected goals 43.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Alacranes de Durango

3.00pts / match
Giocate2Wins2Drawn0Losses0Punti6

SignalCasa unbeaten 2/2

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Piratas

2.00pts / match
Giocate2Wins1Drawn1Losses0Punti4

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/2

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Vinta probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.55
Expected goals
1.21
Alacranes de DurangoPiratas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alacranes de Durango signalCasa unbeaten 2/2

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Piratas signalCasa clean sheets: 2/2

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Alacranes de Durango vs Piratas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alacranes de Durango vinta 43%,Pareggio 29%,Piratas vinta 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.76 · Sopra 2.5 52% · Current selection Sopra