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MEX Mexico Liga de Expansion · Final ·

Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Club Atletico La Paz

Prediction review

Hazai form
Final score0–5Előrejelzés 2–1
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem45%
Döntetlen26%
Vendég győzelem29%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 45% selection probability
Prediction Vesztett
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem45% selection probability
Projected score2–1Tepatitlan de MorelosClub Atletico La Paz
Expected goals2.61Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt52% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
45% / 26% / 29%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Dupla esély1274%1.35
Felett 48% · Alatt 52%Goals 2.5Alatt52%1.92
Igen 48% · Nem 52%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem52%1.92
2.61 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
10.1 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapTepatitlan de Morelos winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Tepatitlan de Morelos win45%2.222.1543.7%+1.3 pp
Döntetlen26%3.853.6026.1%-0.1 pp
Club Atletico La Paz win29%3.453.1030.3%-1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tepatitlan de Morelos1.74

Hazai share of expected goals 66.7%

Total expected goals2.61Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 48% · Alatt 52%

Club Atletico La Paz0.87

Vendég share of expected goals 33.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 48% · Nem 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Tepatitlan de Morelos

1.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Pontok6

SignalHazai failed to score: 2/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Club Atletico La Paz

0.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Pontok1

SignalHazai won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Nyert probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
1
1.74
Expected goals
0.87
Tepatitlan de MorelosClub Atletico La Paz
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tepatitlan de Morelos signalHazai failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Club Atletico La Paz signalHazai won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Club Atletico La Paz FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tepatitlan de Morelos nyer 45%,Döntetlen 26%,Club Atletico La Paz nyer 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.61 · 2.5 felett 48% · Current selection Alatt