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MEX メキシコ リーガ・デ・エクスパンシオン · Round 3 ·

テパティトラン・デ・モレロス vs Club Atletico La Paz

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.61 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利44%
引き分け26%
アウェイ勝利30%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利44% selection probability
Projected score2–1テパティトラン・デ・モレロスClub Atletico La Paz
Expected goals2.61Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー52% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
44% / 26% / 30%試合結果ホーム勝利44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)ダブルチャンス1274%1.35
オーバー 48% · アンダー 52%Goals 2.5アンダー52%1.92
はい 48% · いいえ 52%両チーム得点いいえ52%1.92
2.61 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
10.1 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapテパティトラン・デ・モレロス winDifference+1.3 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
テパティトラン・デ・モレロス win44%2.272.2042.7%+1.3 pp
引き分け26%3.853.6026.1%-0.1 pp
Club Atletico La Paz win30%3.333.0031.3%-1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

テパティトラン・デ・モレロス1.74

ホーム share of expected goals 66.7%

Total expected goals2.61Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 48% · アンダー 52%

Club Atletico La Paz0.87

アウェイ share of expected goals 33.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 48% · いいえ 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

テパティトラン・デ・モレロス

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn0Losses3ポイント6

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

Club Atletico La Paz

0.20pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn1Losses4ポイント1

Signalホーム won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
勝ち probability excluding draw
30%
6
Points from supplied form
1
1.74
Expected goals
0.87
テパティトラン・デ・モレロスClub Atletico La Paz
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01テパティトラン・デ・モレロス signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Club Atletico La Paz signalホーム won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

テパティトラン・デ・モレロス vs Club Atletico La Paz FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

テパティトラン・デ・モレロス 勝ち 44%,引き分け 26%,Club Atletico La Paz 勝ち 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.61 · オーバー 2.5 48% · Current selection アンダー