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MEX 墨西哥发展联赛 · Round 3 ·

特帕蒂特兰德莫雷洛斯 vs 拉巴斯体育俱乐部

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–12.61 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝45%
26%
客勝29%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝45% selection probability
Projected score2–1特帕蒂特兰德莫雷洛斯拉巴斯体育俱乐部
Expected goals2.61Balanced match profile
Goals 2.552% for the selected side
雙方進球52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
45% / 26% / 29%比賽結果主勝45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)雙重機會1274%1.35
大 48% · 小 52%Goals 2.552%1.92
是 48% · 否 52%雙方進球52%1.92
2.61 total expected goals正確比分2–1
10.1 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gap特帕蒂特兰德莫雷洛斯 winDifference+1.3 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
特帕蒂特兰德莫雷洛斯 win45%2.222.1543.7%+1.3 pp
26%3.853.6026.1%-0.1 pp
拉巴斯体育俱乐部 win29%3.453.1030.3%-1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

特帕蒂特兰德莫雷洛斯1.74

主隊 share of expected goals 66.7%

Total expected goals2.61Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 48% · 52%

拉巴斯体育俱乐部0.87

客隊 share of expected goals 33.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 48% · 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

特帕蒂特兰德莫雷洛斯

1.20pts / match
5Wins2Drawn0Losses3積分6

Signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

客隊-context · form sequence

拉巴斯体育俱乐部

0.20pts / match
5Wins0Drawn1Losses4積分1

Signal主隊 won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
贏 probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
1
1.74
Expected goals
0.87
特帕蒂特兰德莫雷洛斯拉巴斯体育俱乐部
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01特帕蒂特兰德莫雷洛斯 signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02拉巴斯体育俱乐部 signal主隊 won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

特帕蒂特兰德莫雷洛斯 vs 拉巴斯体育俱乐部 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

特帕蒂特兰德莫雷洛斯 45%, 26%,拉巴斯体育俱乐部 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.61 · 大2.5 48% · Current selection