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MEX 墨西哥发展联赛 · Round 3 ·

維納多斯 vs Tapatio

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–23.92 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝46%
24%
客勝29%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝46% selection probability
Projected score2–2維納多斯Tapatio
Expected goals3.92初盤 match profile
Goals 2.575% for the selected side
雙方進球73% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
46% / 24% / 29%比賽結果主勝46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.3%)雙重機會1275.7%1.32
大 75% · 小 25%Goals 2.575%1.33
是 73% · 否 27%雙方進球73%1.37
3.92 total expected goals正確比分2–2
9.3 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
維納多斯 win46%2.17
24%4.17
Tapatio win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

維納多斯2.29

主隊 share of expected goals 58.4%

Total expected goals3.92初盤

Dedicated goals model: 75% · 25%

Tapatio1.63

客隊 share of expected goals 41.6%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 73% · 27%Match profile初盤
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

維納多斯

1.80pts / match
5Wins2Drawn3Losses0積分9

Signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

客隊-context · form sequence

Tapatio

1.00pts / match
5Wins1Drawn2Losses2積分5

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
贏 probability excluding draw
29%
9
Points from supplied form
5
2.29
Expected goals
1.63
維納多斯Tapatio
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01維納多斯 signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tapatio signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

維納多斯 vs Tapatio FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

維納多斯 46%, 24%,Tapatio 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.92 · 大2.5 75% · Current selection