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MEX Mexico Liga de Expansion · Round 3 ·

Venados FC vs Tapatio

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–23.92 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy46%
Remis24%
Wygrana gości29%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy46% selection probability
Projected score2–2Venados FCTapatio
Expected goals3.92Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej75% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak73% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
46% / 24% / 29%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.3%)Podwójna szansa1275.7%1.32
Powyżej 75% · Poniżej 25%Goals 2.5Powyżej75%1.33
Tak 73% · Nie 27%Obie drużyny strzeląTak73%1.37
3.92 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–2
9.3 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Venados FC win46%2.17
Remis24%4.17
Tapatio win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Venados FC2.29

Gospodarze share of expected goals 58.4%

Total expected goals3.92Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 75% · Poniżej 25%

Tapatio1.63

Goście share of expected goals 41.6%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitTak 73% · Nie 27%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Venados FC

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punkty9

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Tapatio

1.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkty5

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
29%
9
Points from supplied form
5
2.29
Expected goals
1.63
Venados FCTapatio
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Venados FC signalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tapatio signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Venados FC vs Tapatio FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Venados FC wygrana 46%,Remis 24%,Tapatio wygrana 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.92 · Powyżej 2.5 75% · Current selection Powyżej