MatchFormula Spiel finden
Menu
UTC+8
ZeitzoneAsia/Shanghai
Deutsch
MEX Mexico Liga de Expansion · Round 3 ·

Venados FC vs Tapatio

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–23.92 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg46%
Unentschieden24%
Auswärtssieg29%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg46% selection probability
Projected score2–2Venados FCTapatio
Expected goals3.92Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über75% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa73% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
46% / 24% / 29%SpielergebnisHeimsieg46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.3%)Doppelte Chance1275.7%1.32
Über 75% · Unter 25%Goals 2.5Über75%1.33
Ja 73% · Nein 27%Beide Teams treffenJa73%1.37
3.92 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–2
9.3 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Venados FC win46%2.17
Unentschieden24%4.17
Tapatio win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Venados FC2.29

Heim share of expected goals 58.4%

Total expected goals3.92Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 75% · Unter 25%

Tapatio1.63

Auswärts share of expected goals 41.6%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 73% · Nein 27%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Venados FC

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punkte9

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Tapatio

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
29%
9
Points from supplied form
5
2.29
Expected goals
1.63
Venados FCTapatio
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Venados FC signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tapatio signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Venados FC vs Tapatio FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Venados FC Gewinn 46%,Unentschieden 24%,Tapatio Gewinn 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.92 · Über 2.5 75% · Current selection Über