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MEX Mexico Liga de Expansion · Spiel ·

Jaiba Brava vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.76 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg45%
Unentschieden29%
Auswärtssieg26%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 45% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg45% selection probability
Projected score2–1Jaiba BravaCruz Azul Hidalgo
Expected goals2.76Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über52% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
45% / 29% / 26%SpielergebnisHeimsieg45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cruz Azul Hidalgo win (25.6%)Doppelte Chance1X74.4%1.34
Über 52% · Unter 48%Goals 2.5Über52%1.92
Ja 57% · Nein 43%Beide Teams treffenJa57%1.75
2.76 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
10.0 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin8.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Jaiba Brava win45%2.222.0544.8%
Unentschieden29%3.453.1029.6%
Cruz Azul Hidalgo win26%3.853.6025.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Jaiba Brava1.60

Heim share of expected goals 58%

Total expected goals2.76Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 52% · Unter 48%

Cruz Azul Hidalgo1.16

Auswärts share of expected goals 42%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 57% · Nein 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Jaiba Brava

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Cruz Azul Hidalgo

1.00pts / match
Gespielt2Wins0Drawn2Losses0Punkte2

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
26%
4
Points from supplied form
2
1.60
Expected goals
1.16
Jaiba BravaCruz Azul Hidalgo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Jaiba Brava signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cruz Azul Hidalgo signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Jaiba Brava vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Jaiba Brava Gewinn 45%,Unentschieden 29%,Cruz Azul Hidalgo Gewinn 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.76 · Über 2.5 52% · Current selection Über