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MEX Mexico Liga de Expansion · Wedstrijd ·

Jaiba Brava vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.80 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst55%
Gelijkspel27%
Uitwinst18%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 55% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Jaiba BravaCruz Azul Hidalgo
Expected goals2.80Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven53% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
55% / 27% / 18%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cruz Azul Hidalgo win (18.3%)Dubbele Kans1X81.7%1.22
Boven 53% · Onder 47%Goals 2.5Boven53%1.89
Ja 56% · Nee 44%Beide teams scorenJa56%1.79
2.80 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.0 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Jaiba Brava win55%1.821.6555.6%
Gelijkspel27%3.703.4027%
Cruz Azul Hidalgo win18%5.565.2517.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Jaiba Brava1.77

Thuis share of expected goals 63.2%

Total expected goals2.80Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 53% · Onder 47%

Cruz Azul Hidalgo1.03

Uit share of expected goals 36.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 56% · Nee 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Jaiba Brava

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Cruz Azul Hidalgo

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld2Wins0Drawn2Losses0Punten2

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
18%
4
Points from supplied form
2
1.77
Expected goals
1.03
Jaiba BravaCruz Azul Hidalgo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Jaiba Brava signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cruz Azul Hidalgo signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Jaiba Brava vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Jaiba Brava gewonnen 55%,Gelijkspel 27%,Cruz Azul Hidalgo gewonnen 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.80 · Boven 2.5 53% · Current selection Boven