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MEX Mexico Liga de Expansion · Round 3 ·

Βενάντος ΦΚ vs Tapatio

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–23.93 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου45%
Ισοπαλία24%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου30%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου45% selection probability
Projected score2–2Βενάντος ΦΚTapatio
Expected goals3.93Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω75% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι73% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
45% / 24% / 30%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.4%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1275.6%1.32
Άνω 75% · Κάτω 25%Goals 2.5Άνω75%1.33
Ναι 73% · Όχι 27%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι73%1.37
3.93 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–2
9.3 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Βενάντος ΦΚ win45%2.22
Ισοπαλία24%4.17
Tapatio win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Βενάντος ΦΚ2.26

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 57.5%

Total expected goals3.93Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 75% · Κάτω 25%

Tapatio1.67

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 42.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitΝαι 73% · Όχι 27%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Βενάντος ΦΚ

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Tapatio

1.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Πόντοι5

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
30%
9
Points from supplied form
5
2.26
Expected goals
1.67
Βενάντος ΦΚTapatio
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Βενάντος ΦΚ signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tapatio signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Βενάντος ΦΚ vs Tapatio FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–2 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Βενάντος ΦΚ νίκη 45%,Ισοπαλία 24%,Tapatio νίκη 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.93 · Άνω 2.5 75% · Current selection Άνω