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MEX Mexico Liga de Expansion · Round 3 ·

Atletico Morelia vs Κανκούν ΦΚ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.17 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου50%
Ισοπαλία27%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου23%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου50% selection probability
Projected score1–1Atletico MoreliaΚανκούν ΦΚ
Expected goals2.17Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω63% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
50% / 27% / 23%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Κανκούν ΦΚ win (23.1%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X76.9%1.30
Άνω 37% · Κάτω 63%Goals 2.5Κάτω63%1.59
Ναι 44% · Όχι 56%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι56%1.79
2.17 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
9.5 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.6%Largest probability gapAtletico Morelia winDifference-1.2 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atletico Morelia win50%2.001.8551.2%-1.2 pp
Ισοπαλία27%3.703.6026.3%+0.7 pp
Κανκούν ΦΚ win23%4.354.2022.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atletico Morelia1.18

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 54.4%

Total expected goals2.17Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 37% · Κάτω 63%

Κανκούν ΦΚ0.99

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 45.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 44% · Όχι 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Atletico Morelia

1.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Πόντοι6

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Κανκούν ΦΚ

1.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Πόντοι5

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
23%
6
Points from supplied form
5
1.18
Expected goals
0.99
Atletico MoreliaΚανκούν ΦΚ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atletico Morelia signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Κανκούν ΦΚ signalΦιλοξενούμενος matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Atletico Morelia vs Κανκούν ΦΚ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atletico Morelia νίκη 50%,Ισοπαλία 27%,Κανκούν ΦΚ νίκη 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.17 · Άνω 2.5 37% · Current selection Κάτω