MatchFormula Найти матч
Menu
UTC+8
Часовой поясAsia/Shanghai
Русский
MEX Mexico Liga de Expansion · Round 3 ·

Atletico Morelia vs Канкун

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.17 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев50%
Ничья27%
Победа гостей23%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев50% selection probability
Projected score1–1Atletico MoreliaКанкун
Expected goals2.17Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше63% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
50% / 27% / 23%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Канкун win (23.3%)Двойной шанс1X76.7%1.30
Больше 37% · Меньше 63%Goals 2.5Меньше63%1.59
Да 44% · Нет 56%Обе забьютНет56%1.79
2.17 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.5 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapAtletico Morelia winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atletico Morelia win50%2.001.8550.5%-0.5 pp
Ничья27%3.703.5026.7%+0.3 pp
Канкун win23%4.354.1022.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atletico Morelia1.18

Хозяева share of expected goals 54.4%

Total expected goals2.17Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 37% · Меньше 63%

Канкун0.99

Гости share of expected goals 45.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 44% · Нет 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Atletico Morelia

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Канкун

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalГости matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
23%
6
Points from supplied form
5
1.18
Expected goals
0.99
Atletico MoreliaКанкун
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atletico Morelia signalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Канкун signalГости matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Atletico Morelia vs Канкун FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atletico Morelia выигрыш 50%,Ничья 27%,Канкун выигрыш 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.17 · ТБ 2.5 37% · Current selection Меньше