Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
50% / 27% / 23%Match resultHome win50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cancun FC win (23.1%)Double chance1X76.9%1.30
Over 37% · Under 63%Goals 2.5Under63%1.59
Yes 44% · No 56%Both teams scoreNo56%1.79
2.17 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin5.6%Largest probability gapAtletico Morelia winDifference-1.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atletico Morelia win50%2.001.8551.2%-1.2 pp
Draw27%3.703.6026.3%+0.7 pp
Cancun FC win23%4.354.2022.5%+0.5 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 54.4%
Total expected goals2.17Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 37% · Under 63%
Away share of expected goals 45.6%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 44% · No 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchAtletico Morelia
LWWLL
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome failed to score: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchCancun FC
LDLWD
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
50%
Win probability excluding draw
23%6
Points from supplied form
51.18
Expected goals
0.99Atletico MoreliaCancun FC
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
Atletico Morelia vs Cancun FC FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 50% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Atletico Morelia win 50%，Draw 27%，Cancun FC win 23%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.17 · Over 2.5 37% · Current selection Under。