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MEX メキシコ リーガ・デ・エクスパンシオン · Round 3 ·

アトレティコ・モレリア vs カンクンFC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.17 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利50%
引き分け27%
アウェイ勝利23%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利50% selection probability
Projected score1–1アトレティコ・モレリアカンクンFC
Expected goals2.17Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー63% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
50% / 27% / 23%試合結果ホーム勝利50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes カンクンFC win (23.1%)ダブルチャンス1X76.9%1.30
オーバー 37% · アンダー 63%Goals 2.5アンダー63%1.59
はい 44% · いいえ 56%両チーム得点いいえ56%1.79
2.17 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.5 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.6%Largest probability gapアトレティコ・モレリア winDifference-1.2 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
アトレティコ・モレリア win50%2.001.8551.2%-1.2 pp
引き分け27%3.703.6026.3%+0.7 pp
カンクンFC win23%4.354.2022.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

アトレティコ・モレリア1.18

ホーム share of expected goals 54.4%

Total expected goals2.17Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 37% · アンダー 63%

カンクンFC0.99

アウェイ share of expected goals 45.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 44% · いいえ 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

アトレティコ・モレリア

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn0Losses3ポイント6

Signalホーム failed to score: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

カンクンFC

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalアウェイ matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
勝ち probability excluding draw
23%
6
Points from supplied form
5
1.18
Expected goals
0.99
アトレティコ・モレリアカンクンFC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01アトレティコ・モレリア signalホーム failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02カンクンFC signalアウェイ matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

アトレティコ・モレリア vs カンクンFC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

アトレティコ・モレリア 勝ち 50%,引き分け 27%,カンクンFC 勝ち 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.17 · オーバー 2.5 37% · Current selection アンダー