Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
53% / 25% / 22%Match resultHome win53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Spartak Varna win (22%)Double chance1X78%1.28
Over 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Over59%1.69
Yes 55% · No 45%Both teams scoreYes55%1.82
3.06 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Botev Plovdiv win53%1.89
Draw25%4.00
Spartak Varna win22%4.55
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 67.3%
Total expected goals3.06Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 59% · Under 41%
Away share of expected goals 32.7%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 55% · No 45%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchBotev Plovdiv
WLDWW
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchSpartak Varna
WWDLD
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
53%
Win probability excluding draw
22%10
Points from supplied form
82.06
Expected goals
1.00Botev PlovdivSpartak Varna
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Botev Plovdiv win 53%，Draw 25%，Spartak Varna win 22%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.06 · Over 2.5 59% · Current selection Over。