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BGR ブルガリア ファーストリーグ · 試合 ·

ボテフプロブディフ vs スパルタクヴァルナ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–13.06 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利52%
引き分け26%
アウェイ勝利22%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利52% selection probability
Projected score2–1ボテフプロブディフスパルタクヴァルナ
Expected goals3.06始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー59% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
52% / 26% / 22%試合結果ホーム勝利52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes スパルタクヴァルナ win (22%)ダブルチャンス1X78%1.28
オーバー 59% · アンダー 41%Goals 2.5オーバー59%1.69
はい 55% · いいえ 45%両チーム得点はい55%1.82
3.06 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.7 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
ボテフプロブディフ win52%1.92
引き分け26%3.85
スパルタクヴァルナ win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ボテフプロブディフ2.06

ホーム share of expected goals 67.3%

Total expected goals3.06始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 59% · アンダー 41%

スパルタクヴァルナ1.00

アウェイ share of expected goals 32.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 55% · いいえ 45%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ボテフプロブディフ

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

スパルタクヴァルナ

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
勝ち probability excluding draw
22%
10
Points from supplied form
8
2.06
Expected goals
1.00
ボテフプロブディフスパルタクヴァルナ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ボテフプロブディフ signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02スパルタクヴァルナ signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

ボテフプロブディフ vs スパルタクヴァルナ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ボテフプロブディフ 勝ち 52%,引き分け 26%,スパルタクヴァルナ 勝ち 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.06 · オーバー 2.5 59% · Current selection オーバー