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IdőzónaAsia/Shanghai
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BGR Bulgária - 1. liga · Mérkőzés ·

Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–13.06 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem52%
Döntetlen26%
Vendég győzelem22%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem52% selection probability
Projected score2–1Botev PlovdivSpartak Varna
Expected goals3.06Nyitó match profile
Goals 2.5Felett59% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
52% / 26% / 22%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Spartak Varna win (22%)Dupla esély1X78%1.28
Felett 59% · Alatt 41%Goals 2.5Felett59%1.69
Igen 55% · Nem 45%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen55%1.82
3.06 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
9.7 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nem snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityValós odds
Botev Plovdiv win52%1.92
Döntetlen26%3.85
Spartak Varna win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Botev Plovdiv2.06

Hazai share of expected goals 67.3%

Total expected goals3.06Nyitó

Dedicated goals model: Felett 59% · Alatt 41%

Spartak Varna1.00

Vendég share of expected goals 32.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 55% · Nem 45%Match profileNyitó
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Botev Plovdiv

2.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontok10

SignalHazai unbeaten 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Spartak Varna

1.60pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontok8

SignalHazai matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Nyert probability excluding draw
22%
10
Points from supplied form
8
2.06
Expected goals
1.00
Botev PlovdivSpartak Varna
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Botev Plovdiv signalHazai unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Spartak Varna signalHazai matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Botev Plovdiv nyer 52%,Döntetlen 26%,Spartak Varna nyer 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.06 · 2.5 felett 59% · Current selection Felett