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IdőzónaAsia/Shanghai
Magyar
BGR Bulgária - 1. liga · Mérkőzés ·

Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score1–22.50 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem16%
Döntetlen26%
Vendég győzelem57%
Full model forecastVendég győzelemTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVendég győzelem57% selection probability
Projected score1–2Septemvri SofiaCSKA Sofia
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt54% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
16% / 26% / 57%Mérkőzés eredményeVendég győzelem57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Septemvri Sofia win (16.4%)Dupla esélyX283.6%1.20
Felett 46% · Alatt 54%Goals 2.5Alatt54%1.85
Igen 39% · Nem 61%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem61%1.64
2.50 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–2
8.9 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nem snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityValós odds
Septemvri Sofia win16%6.25
Döntetlen26%3.85
CSKA Sofia win57%1.75

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Septemvri Sofia0.61

Hazai share of expected goals 24.4%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 46% · Alatt 54%

CSKA Sofia1.89

Vendég share of expected goals 75.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitIgen 39% · Nem 61%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Septemvri Sofia

0.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Pontok2

SignalHazai failed to score: 2/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

CSKA Sofia

2.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Pontok11

SignalVendég unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
16%
Nyert probability excluding draw
57%
2
Points from supplied form
11
0.61
Expected goals
1.89
Septemvri SofiaCSKA Sofia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Septemvri Sofia signalHazai failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CSKA Sofia signalVendég unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vendég győzelem · Projected score 1–2 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Septemvri Sofia nyer 16%,Döntetlen 26%,CSKA Sofia nyer 57%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · 2.5 felett 46% · Current selection Alatt