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BGR България - Първа Лига · Мач ·

Септември София vs ЦСКА София

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–22.50 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина16%
Равен26%
Победа за госта57%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта57% selection probability
Projected score1–2Септември СофияЦСКА София
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под54% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
16% / 26% / 57%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Септември София win (16.4%)Двоен шансX283.6%1.20
Над 46% · Под 54%Goals 2.5Под54%1.85
Да 39% · Не 61%И двата отбора да отбележатНе61%1.64
2.50 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–2
8.9 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Септември София win16%6.25
Равен26%3.85
ЦСКА София win57%1.75

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Септември София0.61

Домакин share of expected goals 24.4%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 46% · Под 54%

ЦСКА София1.89

Гост share of expected goals 75.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 39% · Не 61%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Септември София

0.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Точки2

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Гост-context · form sequence

ЦСКА София

2.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Точки11

SignalГост unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
16%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
57%
2
Points from supplied form
11
0.61
Expected goals
1.89
Септември СофияЦСКА София
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Септември София signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ЦСКА София signalГост unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Септември София vs ЦСКА София FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–2 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Септември София печеливш 16%,Равен 26%,ЦСКА София печеливш 57%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · Над 2.5 46% · Current selection Под