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BGR Bulgária - 1.ª Liga · Partida ·

Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–22.50 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa16%
Empate26%
Vitória visitante57%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante57% selection probability
Projected score1–2Septemvri SofiaCSKA Sofia
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo54% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
16% / 26% / 57%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Septemvri Sofia win (16.4%)Dupla ChanceX283.6%1.20
Acima 46% · Abaixo 54%Goals 2.5Abaixo54%1.85
Sim 39% · Não 61%Ambas as equipes marcamNão61%1.64
2.50 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–2
8.9 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
Septemvri Sofia win16%6.25
Empate26%3.85
CSKA Sofia win57%1.75

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Septemvri Sofia0.61

Mandante share of expected goals 24.4%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 46% · Abaixo 54%

CSKA Sofia1.89

Visitante share of expected goals 75.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitSim 39% · Não 61%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Septemvri Sofia

0.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Pontos2

SignalMandante failed to score: 2/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

CSKA Sofia

2.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Pontos11

SignalVisitante unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
16%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
57%
2
Points from supplied form
11
0.61
Expected goals
1.89
Septemvri SofiaCSKA Sofia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Septemvri Sofia signalMandante failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CSKA Sofia signalVisitante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 1–2 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Septemvri Sofia ganhou 16%,Empate 26%,CSKA Sofia ganhou 57%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · Acima 2.5 46% · Current selection Abaixo