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BGR 保加利亞甲級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞 vs 索菲亞中央陸軍

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–22.50 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝16%
26%
客勝57%
Full model forecast客勝Tier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call客勝57% selection probability
Projected score1–2塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞索菲亞中央陸軍
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.554% for the selected side
雙方進球61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
16% / 26% / 57%比賽結果客勝57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞 win (16.4%)雙重機會X283.6%1.20
大 46% · 小 54%Goals 2.554%1.85
是 39% · 否 61%雙方進球61%1.64
2.50 total expected goals正確比分1–2
8.9 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞 win16%6.25
26%3.85
索菲亞中央陸軍 win57%1.75

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞0.61

主隊 share of expected goals 24.4%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 46% · 54%

索菲亞中央陸軍1.89

客隊 share of expected goals 75.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 39% · 61%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞

0.40pts / match
5Wins0Drawn2Losses3積分2

Signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

客隊-context · form sequence

索菲亞中央陸軍

2.20pts / match
5Wins3Drawn2Losses0積分11

Signal客隊 unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
16%
贏 probability excluding draw
57%
2
Points from supplied form
11
0.61
Expected goals
1.89
塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞索菲亞中央陸軍
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞 signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02索菲亞中央陸軍 signal客隊 unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞 vs 索菲亞中央陸軍 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 客勝 · Projected score 1–2 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞 16%, 26%,索菲亞中央陸軍 57%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · 大2.5 46% · Current selection