Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
16% / 26% / 57%Match resultAway win57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Septemvri Sofia win (16.4%)Double chanceX283.6%1.20
Over 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Yes 39% · No 61%Both teams scoreNo61%1.64
2.50 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2——
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Septemvri Sofia win16%6.25
Draw26%3.85
CSKA Sofia win57%1.75
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 24.4%
Total expected goals2.50Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 46% · Under 54%
Away share of expected goals 75.6%
Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 39% · No 61%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchSeptemvri Sofia
LLDLD
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.20pts / matchCSKA Sofia
WWDWD
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11
SignalAway unbeaten 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
16%
Win probability excluding draw
57%2
Points from supplied form
110.61
Expected goals
1.89Septemvri SofiaCSKA Sofia
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 57% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Septemvri Sofia win 16%，Draw 26%，CSKA Sofia win 57%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.50 · Over 2.5 46% · Current selection Under。