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BGR Bułgaria - 1. Liga · Mecz ·

Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–22.50 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy16%
Remis26%
Wygrana gości57%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości57% selection probability
Projected score1–2Septemvri SofiaCSKA Sofia
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej54% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
16% / 26% / 57%Wynik meczuWygrana gości57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Septemvri Sofia win (16.4%)Podwójna szansaX283.6%1.20
Powyżej 46% · Poniżej 54%Goals 2.5Poniżej54%1.85
Tak 39% · Nie 61%Obie drużyny strzeląNie61%1.64
2.50 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–2
8.9 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Septemvri Sofia win16%6.25
Remis26%3.85
CSKA Sofia win57%1.75

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Septemvri Sofia0.61

Gospodarze share of expected goals 24.4%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 46% · Poniżej 54%

CSKA Sofia1.89

Goście share of expected goals 75.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitTak 39% · Nie 61%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Septemvri Sofia

0.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkty2

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

Goście-context · form sequence

CSKA Sofia

2.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkty11

SignalGoście unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
16%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
57%
2
Points from supplied form
11
0.61
Expected goals
1.89
Septemvri SofiaCSKA Sofia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Septemvri Sofia signalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CSKA Sofia signalGoście unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–2 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Septemvri Sofia wygrana 16%,Remis 26%,CSKA Sofia wygrana 57%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · Powyżej 2.5 46% · Current selection Poniżej